The twelfth ranked Wildcats travel to Columbia, Missouri this Saturday to take on the Tigers at 4PM on the SEC Network. This is a really important game for the cats to win as it will boost their chances of winning the SEC East. Kentucky and Georgia win, then we have a matchup on November 3rd at Kroger Field for the SEC East.
Missouri has a great QB in Drew Lock, who has a 61% completion percentage for 1,979 yards. On the season he is 154/252 with 16 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. The number that stands out to me there is obviously the amount of touchdowns.
Lock is currently ranked third in the SEC in passing yards behind Tua Tagovailoa and Jordan Ta’amu.
Lock is also second in the SEC in touchdowns behind Tua Tagovailoa.
Don’t let these numbers fool you though. Lock’s stats are very misleading. In the Tigers four non-conference games, with Purdue being the best team they played, he threw for 1,412 yards and 15 touchdowns. But, in the Tigers three SEC games, he threw for 567 yards and 1 touchdown. Overrated?
Kentucky is allowing only 127 passing yards per game so they are more than capable of stopping Lock, but if the offense struggles and the defense is on the field for the majority of the game, just like the last two, Kentucky might be in trouble.
The Missouri defense is average at best, allowing almost 38 points per game. They have allowed 3,508 total yards this season and 3 touchdowns.
Kentucky should easily be able to run the ball this Saturday. Their defense is allowing 200 rushing yards per game, for a total of 1,401 on the year with 15 total touchdowns, that’s almost two per game.
In the passing game they’re allowing 301 yards per game, for a total of 2,107 on the year and 16 touchdowns. With Terry Wilson struggling mightily in the passing game, if he doesn’t throw the ball well, then Gunnar Hoak should be able to.
Kentucky will be able to move the ball on offense, whether it’s running or passing. The key is obviously stopping Drew Lock. He has definitely struggled against SEC defenses this year so how will one of the best defenses in the nation handle him? We’ll have to wait and see.
We will see a fair amount of touchdowns in this game due to Lock being an explosive QB and Missouri having such a bad defense. If Kentucky can score at least three touchdowns and hold lock to his average numbers against SEC defenses, I like Kentucky’s chances.